bit-tech.net

Intel: 1.2 sextillion transistors worldwide by 2016

Intel: 1.2 sextillion transistors worldwide by 2016

Intel CEO Paul Otellini predicts exponential growth in transisors over the next five years.

Intel CEO Paul Otellini has predicted that there will be 1.2 sextillion transistors worldwide by 2016, meaning that electronic devices will become more powerful and ubiquitous.

Intel CEO Paul Otellini has said that he expects there to be 1.6 sextillion transistors worldwide by 2016. He bases this claim on previous exponential growth in transistor usage and current trends in computing.

The transition to mobility and pervasive connectivity led to the first significant uptick [of transistors in the world] in the early 2000’s, reaching 5 quintillion transistors by the end of 2005,’ said Otellini.

The explosion of connected devices and the corresponding data centre build-out grew transistor use to 80 quintillion between 2005 and 2010 – a 15x increase in just five years.’ Otellini’s statement was backed up with a graph showing a steep exponential curve of transistor use over five years. The next slide added another five years to the time axes and saw this curve shrink to an insignificant bump:

The growth in transistors needed to manage, interpret and store the data that we’re going to create in the next five years will take us past the 1 sextillion mark. For those of you not familiar with the sextillion, the sextillion is 1,000 quintillions, or, for the scientifically minded 10x1021’ By 2016 the prediction is that the world will contain 1,200,000,000,000,000,000,000 transistors.

This makes the transistor usage over the last three decades look like a flat line by comparison, ’ added Otellini.

Excited by the thought that progress will continue to accelerate, or do you think we’ll hit a wall before breaking the 1 sextillion barrier sometime around 2015? Let us know in the forum.

28 Comments

Discuss in the forums Reply
GeorgeK 13th September 2011, 21:39 Quote
Sexy...

*gets coat*
jcb121 13th September 2011, 22:09 Quote
Sexy...

*gets goat*
Fod 13th September 2011, 22:12 Quote
Goat...

*gets sexy*
sb1991 13th September 2011, 22:19 Quote
Goatse?

*Coat already on*
Snips 13th September 2011, 22:19 Quote
Sorry, I was with you right up to the word Sex.
Aracos 13th September 2011, 22:32 Quote
Anyone think he's being a TAD optimistic? :P
Valinor 13th September 2011, 22:41 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aracos
Anyone think he's being a TAD optimistic? :P

Who's going to be able to prove him right or wrong?
Jimbob 13th September 2011, 22:50 Quote
I've counted all the ones in my house, I lost count as 126432697 and had to start again, which was annoying.
Bede 13th September 2011, 22:56 Quote
The Singularity approaches...
salesman 14th September 2011, 00:58 Quote
I took away knowledge from this post about goats and coats.

Somebody gets rep.
SpAceman 14th September 2011, 05:11 Quote
read the headline and immediately thought "Holy **** how big would the CPU have to be?!"
sub routine 14th September 2011, 08:41 Quote
sextillion, your making words up surely?
sub routine 14th September 2011, 08:42 Quote
lol theres another one quintillion, how about ajungazillion.
Xir 14th September 2011, 09:52 Quote
good! Buy more sillicon!
mclean007 14th September 2011, 10:43 Quote
By 2050 there'll be a quintillion transistors in the CHIP INSIDE YOUR HEAD THEY USE TO CONTROL YOUR THOUGHTS.

*gets tinfoil coat*
guvnar 14th September 2011, 11:05 Quote
Looking forward to playing Crysis properly...

*Why's my goat wearing my coat?*
TWeaK 14th September 2011, 11:14 Quote
I guess Otellini knows what Lady Gaga's next outfit will be

*patents transistor coat*
Zinfandel 14th September 2011, 11:20 Quote
HEY GUIS, AMD ARE DOING STUFF, LET'S RELEASE A LOAD OF POINTLESS PRESS STATEMENTS!!!
B1GBUD 14th September 2011, 15:35 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by GeorgeK
Sexy...

*gets coat*
Quote:
Originally Posted by jcb121
Sexy...

*gets goat*
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fod
Goat...

*gets sexy*
Quote:
Originally Posted by sb1991
Goatse?

*Coat already on*

Soo much lol... this is why I love bit-tech, you guys are awesome! + rep
xaser04 14th September 2011, 15:39 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fod
Goat...

*gets sexy*

:|

*Backs away from thread slowly*
Comfyasabadger 14th September 2011, 16:13 Quote
[QUOTE=xaser04]
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fod

*Backs away from thread slowly*

Don't forget your goat coat.
Comfyasabadger 14th September 2011, 16:14 Quote
Meh messed up Quotage
B1GBUD 14th September 2011, 18:56 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Comfyasabadger
Meh messed up Quotage

That is what the edit button for ;P
Arkanrais 14th September 2011, 23:32 Quote
I read the article and thought "that's mildly interesting." I then read the comments section and shat a brick, which looked suspicious like a goat.
LennyRhys 15th September 2011, 00:19 Quote
The replies in this thread are full of w i n

*strokes goatee*
bulldogjeff 17th September 2011, 22:59 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jimbob
I've counted all the ones in my house, I lost count as 126432697 and had to start again, which was annoying.

So what was the final total on the recount?
SolidShot 18th September 2011, 17:53 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by bulldogjeff
So what was the final total on the recount?

probably still counting - or is dead from lack of food and sleep?
Skiddywinks 19th September 2011, 00:50 Quote
Eeking closer and closer to a singularity.
Log in

You are not logged in, please login with your forum account below. If you don't already have an account please register to start contributing.



Discuss in the forums