Laptops to overtake Desktop sales

Unfortunately you can't buy laptops that have been modded by bit-tech. Maybe one day!

PC Analyst group IDC has claimed that laptops and mobile computers will become the primary form of computer and outsell desktops by 2011.

Considering the progress of battery life (well, as long as they don't explode), TFT technology (with the introduction of LED backlights, higher resolutions, better viewing angles and colour definition) and general performance, more people will be turning to mobile computing as a more convenient form of doing many average user functions.

Prices have also continued to drop and bargains offered tend to be equivalent to the cost of an entire desktop PC, but with a form factor that is only a fraction of the space - not to mention the power and money savings enabled by a notebook over a desktop with a 1000W PSU!

Obviously a full desktop will still be preferable for gaming, and there will still be a need for large screens, oodles of storage and internal expansion. Not to mention those of us who enjoy building our own computers are pretty much restricted to desktops!

IDC went on to say that the roll out of Microsoft Vista will boost desktop PC sales for this year and next, but that the trend will be downwards subsequently - although it didn't say how much, and neither did it say why Vista wouldn't increase sales for laptops equally.

64.7 million computers were sold in Q4 last year, with a global growth of 7.3%. In a statement, the IDC website says that

"While Desktop volume will grow by low single-digit rates throughout, the forecast with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8 percent from 2006 to 2011, Portable PC shipments will maintain a CAGR of 16.1 percent over the same period. As a result, Portable PCs will represent more than 50 percent of all Client PCs worldwide in 2011 with a CAGR for Client PC shipments of 9.1 percent."


Emerging markets in Asia, the Pacific Rim, Central and Eastern Europe, Latin America and the Middle East are destined to account for more than 50% of the desktop PC shipments in 2006 and will be more than 50% of all PC shipments by 2011.

Hopefully, this will mean more investment into notebook technology bringing overall prices down. In addition, it might also mean more companies develop for low power far more increasingly, rather than having several hundred watts dedicated to a single component.

I wonder how IDC predict trends up until 2011? If they're that good, maybe they can pick my lottery numbers for next week as well! Do you think you can predict PC trends? Give us your theories over in the forums.
Quote DarkLord7854 22nd March 2007, 15:36
That just means there's more people buying into laptops, doesn't mean they don't already own a desktop. The good thing about desktops is that you can just upgrade it piece by piece. Laptops.. You can't, not as much anyways(HD and memory but that's about it),and they're sold as 1 unit, whereas desktops can ether be bought as 1 unit or as multiple. I'm guessing they don't consider the people like us who buy new desktop parts every year or so.
Quote Bindibadgi 22nd March 2007, 15:40
Very good point, I'd love to know the proportion of people upgrading to just buying a PC. Also, remember most companies buy PCs rather than laptops for their employees (unless you're managerial or travel often) so those will negate the people upgrading.
Quote Veles 22nd March 2007, 15:43
I don't see why companies havn't made tablet laptops the new laptop standard, they're far superior to a standard laptop, I never want to use a touch pad ever again.

I'm not surprised to hear it, laptops are very popular, when was the last time you saw someone (i.e. home user) using a PC on an advert? Quite a lot of people I know have laptops, students often get them, thinking yeah I can take it to lectures and use that instead, which hardly ever happens.
Quote metarinka 22nd March 2007, 16:39
what's the price margin of laptops and PC's that's the real question, and as mentioned the upgrade and home builder market is non existent for laptop users. But a percentage of the buying population (including myself) buuild not buy their homecomputers
Quote DarkLord7854 22nd March 2007, 16:50
Quote:
Originally Posted by Veles
I'm not surprised to hear it, laptops are very popular, when was the last time you saw someone (i.e. home user) using a PC on an advert? Quite a lot of people I know have laptops, students often get them, thinking yeah I can take it to lectures and use that instead, which hardly ever happens.

Yep, but you have to realize that most people who own a lappy also have desktop, and only now are laptops really becoming mainstream and more and more common. The only reason those sales are going up is because people buying laptops most likely already have a desktop and just want something they can take on the go.
We only recently bought a laptop and have 3 desktops, 2 of which are rather old (one being 6 years old now), and soon we're buying another 2 laptops.
Quote riggs 22nd March 2007, 17:36
I agree - I know quite a few people (myself included) that have ditched the desktop in favour of a lappy. Seems to be the trend these days...
Quote Stompy 22nd March 2007, 21:11
I find I use my laptop alot more at home, even though my laptop has a 14" widescreen, compared to a 19" CRT on the PC. It's just so much more convient if I decide I want to go and sit on the sofa downstairs whilst using it, I can just unplug everything and take it downstairs, still having everything open on the screen.

Of course, it does have intel bollocks graphics so I still have to use the PC for gaming.
Quote rowin4kicks 22nd March 2007, 21:25
i totally agree, my laptop is soo much more versitile than my old desktop, although i do miss the power, adn the screen size a bit lol
Quote Aankhen 22nd March 2007, 21:59
I don't know about mobile computers overtaking desktops, but they could certainly catch up. For example, in my household of six people, five of us have laptops (I have a desktop too, of course ;)). Only three of us (myself included) are college students.
Quote KMS-oul 22nd March 2007, 23:26
Laptop price performance ratio is much better than it was years ago so it's only logical really.
Quote Firehed 23rd March 2007, 00:58
I thought laptop sales overtook desktop sales a couple years ago...
There certainly is a convenience factor, but I still like to keep a desktop around for when I need the extra space/power/screen/etc. That said, I'm using a laptop primarily now.
Quote west4sider 23rd March 2007, 09:26
The point with the screen according to me is not so relevant if you have a nice 19" monitor at home and just plug the laptop to it ... Of course for gaming the desktop is much better (laptops have junk graphics unless you pay more for discrete solutions) you can always put more memory for the new version of your favorite game (and it's cheaper than the one for the laptop) ... and on and on and on!!! Plus if you want your laptop to be fully functional you have to get a separate peripherals such as mouse and keyboard - sound ....
Quote dire_wolf 23rd March 2007, 11:28
I know a lot of my work colleagues are switching to laptops now, even if it's just for home use, mainly because they can wander about with it and not have to sit cramped up at a desk all the time. I just can't seem to get along with laptops, they just seem to lack grunt when you need it in games and rendering, maybe something to do with HDD speed.
Quote Bluephoenix 23rd March 2007, 22:39
I suppose its the old specilization route.

laptops will become the standard machines for office and web tasks, while desktops will be used mostly for tasks that require a lot of power or storage space. (home file/backup servers, gaming, HTPC/media servers)
Quote sui_winbolo 24th March 2007, 22:47
I'll be getting a laptop instead of building a PC this summer. I was going to build my dream machine, but a laptop is a much more logical route with college and running back & forth.
Quote Bluephoenix 25th March 2007, 03:04
only issue there is you can't fasten a laptop down onto the floor :)

mine is only removable if you know how to get at the bolt-heads
Quote crazydeep74 25th March 2007, 04:42
This either means people are getting too lazy to walk to there computer or, are being more active and getting out.
Quote Cobalt 25th March 2007, 19:36
I know that at my college laptops are the latest craze. Everyone is getting one now whether they can afford it or not lol.

However I am being asked to build a lot more desktops for people as well so it seems that PC uptake has had a sudden surge where I am. Possibly because all those people still on P3s etc have finally decided to bite the bullet.
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