Analyst: Vista will have the fastest growing OS user base ever, with up to 15% of users moving over in the first year.
A software analyst has predicted that the adoption of Microsoft's upcoming Windows Vista operating system
will happen quicker than any previous OS release.
David Mitchell, Software Practice Leader at Ovum Ltd, claims that up to 15% of computer users will make the move to Windows Vista in the first year, making it the fastest growing new OS user base ever. He went on to say that Windows XP was adopted by 12-14% of users in its first year.
Many developers and gamers are looking forward to the next-generation graphical effects that we can expect to see in DirectX 10 enabled games. Both AMD and NVIDIA are also hoping for a resurgence in PC gaming and an increase in discrete graphics card sales, thanks to the Aero glass 3D desktop. The benefits don't stop there though, as Microsoft has made many improvements to the operating system's core.
Mitchell believes that Vista will be adopted quickly by both corporate customers and end users. The corporate adoption is thanks to Microsoft's Software Assurance scheme, which will grant participating companies an automatic upgrade. Of course, that is subject to the companies wanting to roll the new operating system out across their networks. He also believes that consumer adoption will be high too. Mitchell pointed to the rate of beta adoption, claiming that "it's very high".
The analyst also went on to talk about the rate of adoption for
Microsoft's Office 2007 suite, indicating that the rate of adoption will be lower than Windows Vista in the first twelve months. He pointed out that "You don't get the OEM drag effect. If you buy a new PC, you get a copy of Vista. You don't necessarily get a copy of Office."
Will you be upgrading to Windows Vista and/or Office 2007 in the first year? Let us know
in the forums.
20 Comments
Discuss in the forums ReplyI'm going to go for a while until upgrading, at least waiting for XP SP3 to come out, because I want to see what that adds to Windows XP, and then judge if it's going to be benificial for me to upgrade.
[cough]bull5h1t[/cough]
(Brooxy said it more coherently than that, but I think I summed it up pretty well.)
SSDD [Same ****, Different Day]
Without the new file system, will businesses actually see any benefit of moving across any time soon. I would imagine most will see a downturn in productivity, not just from users learning a new system, but from them being too busy playing with the spangly 3d interface to do any work.
Exactly what I was going to say. People clearly have forgotten what it was like going from win 98 to XP, and the exact same things were said as well. I am going to get vista with my new build, end of.
I held on to win2k until SP2 came out for XP and I expect to wait until the teething stage is over with the software.
I'll also need the hardware to actually run the latest and greatest games.
One interesting point is that there will be a build of Vista that includes Office 2007 that can be trialled for 30days and then unlocked if you want it. It will be interesting to see if Microsoft counts these versions as shipped units when they tally up the office 2007 shipping figures next year.
I want the new OS but i'm prob going to wait for a couple of months because of the above point.
I'd glad the specs are high! I want the moile graphics sector to improve. No longer should crappy intergrated graphics be tollerated! more focus should/will be on powerful low power requirement components.
£380 I can buy a pc with XP. They want us to pay double for our PC's now.
id probly stay with XP for an bit (but i been useing xp from week 2 of it been out list of securty holes if you do not install sp2 is wurrying as some of my frends still have not obtaned copys of an XP pro(c)/home sp2 disk yet and wunder why thay get an worm virus (msblaster types) soon as thay connect to the internet)
XP has worked very well as long as the hardware is stable XP is stable (-) any software bugs from programs and mallware
Only once Vista has a proven track record will big business move over and adopt it as the OS of choice.
The only reason this will sell faster than XP did, is that there are more people buying PC's than there were at the launch of XP, most of those will be new PC's from the OEM's which will have Vista preinstalled.
Office 2007, hells no. Open Office shall forever be my love.
L J
Quoted for truth. (Both were what I was about to say)
I've said it before and I'll say it again: MS has taught me to wait for _.11 / OSR2 / S.E. / SP1 (or SP2) / ... I'm looking looking forward to a new version of Windows, just not the first version.
Exactly what ive been thinking for a few weeks, planing on getting ubuntu when i buy my new harddrive, and the only reason for me waiting for that is 40 gig fills so damm fast dammit, stupid lack of money student c**p