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Internet could be filled up by 2010
Author: Phil CogarPublished: 21st November 2007
According to a new study, you're clooging up these tubes...I bet it's all the porn and pirated movies you're downloading.
According to Nemertes Research, internet backbone providers will need to fund up to $137 billion in order to increase capacity to keep up with demand. Increasing ISP speeds along with new video and other Web content
“Our findings indicate that although core fibre and switching/routing resources will scale nicely to support virtually any conceivable user demand, Internet access infrastructure, specifically in North America, will likely cease to be adequate for supporting demand within the next three to five years,” says Nemertes.
ISPs around the world are already investing millions and even billions of dollars into their networks in order to keep up with the ever increasing demand for access speed. Some are even going to drastic measures in order to help ease some of the traffic.
Recently, US ISP Comcast was caught throttling BitTorrent downloads through packet shaping techniques. The whole ordeal with Comcast might end wind up in court and, should Comcast prevail, set a precedent for ISPs and just how the can manage their network traffic.
AT&T may be taking other steps in order to help ease its network traffic. News came about yesterday that the telecom giant has invested in a "video DNA" system in order to stop piracy at the ISP level. The new techniques uses bits and sample of a video being downloaded and compares it to a "DNA strain" on file. If the samples match up, then your download could be shut off. Of course the EFF is watching this move very closely and warns that AT&T could be violating users' privacy.
Do you think that we'll really come to an Internet gridlock in just over two years or is this another scaremongering study? Leave your thoughts over in the forums.
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Comments (24)Stats: 0.145 seconds
They want to spread as much FUD (Fear Uncertainty & Doubt) as possible so Net Neutrality will become a thing of the past, and therefore save themselves billions in improving their infrastructure which they should be doing anyway.
I suppose if you register your data as "black cab material" you'd go congestion charge free...
/sigh
You'd think the US and the UK wouldn't have any trouble keeping up with the likes of Japan or Sweden where fiber optics are quite normal
Agreed, first thing I thought when I saw this on the BBC yesterday.
Think about it. No one twenty years ago could have seen the rapidly increasing demand for computing power. The more calculations per second I can do, the more I find I need. A new, faster cpu? Now I can do things I never thought about... but wait, I just thought of something I still can't do... multicore? Thanks, now I can do that too, but wait... if I had eighty cores, I could do even more!
The same with internet access- wow, this bbs and aol is great... but dl'ing a song takes ages. 56k modem? Now I can dl that song, but what about video? Cable modem, great... but what about HD?
Give me a gigabit line and I bet I could find a way to max it out and still need more. Heck, I already know how I'd use it.
This reminded me of a Dilbert cartoon - best link a quick search gave: http://www.cs.vu.nl/~frankh/dilbert.html scroll down or search page for "The Internet is full".
I think the main fear is IPv4 running out of available addresses and I presume the costs involved are for changing equipment to IPv6.
Plusnet have been throttling all P2P downloads for over 18 months now, as do Tiscali and i'm sure plenty of others as well.
you hear that telecom, nz is part of this world isnt it?
"Bandwidth increases linearly while population increases exponentially."
Give me a break--as long as telecoms focus on increasing bandwidth, and as long as the government continues to regulate monopolies (or veritable monopolies in the case of many US towns where Cable and DSL are the only 2 viable choices for broadband), the situation will resolve itself--if demand outstrips supply at the rate this article is implying (especially if nothing is done to increasing demand when companies *know* that demand is increasing at a given rate), then the companies should be fined for unfair business practices--don't let any rep tell you otherwise--they have tons of money (it's called *profit*).
*anger*
I havent had any troubles with that at all so far. It might be because I live rural, but i on average get speeds on downloads and P2P software of between 75kbps (minimum!) and 250kbps! Thats dam good, considering how far away i am from the nearest exchange.
I have downloaded over 3gb's in a whole day and never had it throttled.
Fixed.
Also, if JANET can give sustainable 50Gbit/s, why can't BT?
then again that is the reason the internet was created, porn :D
I'm I not speaking english??? I said that porn is the reason the internet was created
show me where they metion porn?!? It payed for the continued development of the web but not the whole internet.
Well of course they wouldn’t, that would be viewed as politically incorrect you see.:p Now; surely we all know that the internet was created as to share sex, drugs and rock’n roll, I mean, common now.:) Hmm…the information is on wiki you say, well, the fact that porn isn’t mentioned could easily be rectified me thinks.
(just my humour mate, no offence)
On topic: the statment made that says that the Internet could be filled up by the year of 2010, is someting I view to be nothing more than "fear" mongering rants.
(just my humour mate, no offence)
:)
Have there been any studies recently that show what the current percentages of internet use are (divided by purpose for use: e-mail, p2p file sharing, e-commerce, streaming video, ...) and how that use is changing?