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2011: The Year Ahead

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Elledan 1st January 2011, 11:52 Quote
I'm really looking forward to what ARM can give us this year. I'd love to see real competition between different architectures in the desktop market again, like during the 80s and 90s.

On which note, I would also like to see Bulldozer released sooner than July :( I guess I'll be ending up with a Sandy Bridge system like everybody else because I probably can't wait that long to upgrade :p
salesman 1st January 2011, 11:53 Quote
And the world doesn't end . . . yet.
mi1ez 1st January 2011, 12:09 Quote
Really looking forward to how things pan out with AMD/Intel/ARM. Would be nice to see a more level playing field with no one dominant company.

Intrigued by Duke, but we'll see on that front.

What I really want from the next year is an announcement about a new Half-Life!
favst89 1st January 2011, 12:10 Quote
I'm interested in the fusion apu. I need a new laptop soon and amd one's don't seem to have the performance (both processing and battery) of intel but are much more affordable. Hopefully, this will provide better performance while still being cheaper.
Ph4ZeD 1st January 2011, 12:19 Quote
I agree broadly with the predictions. Tablets will continue to grow fast, but I don't agree with the description of them being useless. I think the iPad does have some compelling uses, and while there are restrictions for developers using the App store, the impending release of a CDMA iPhone 4 will continue Apple's massive dominance of the industry. Can developers afford to ignore a market that large?

I too see a 2011 with nVidia as the dominant graphics manufacturer.
frontline 1st January 2011, 13:37 Quote
Nvidia takes back the graphics market? I suspect that it will be a far more complex situation than that in 2011.

They certainly have a lot of catching up to do on the DX11 front, however if they do get a GTX560 out of the door in early 2011, then i think it will be a very interesting time for the sub £200 market, with some very competitive deals from both manufacturers.
general22 1st January 2011, 13:59 Quote
Good predictions but I think android tablets will be far more useful and successful than you think. When Honeycomb rolls around with a better UI for tablets that's when it will really take off.
Nexxo 1st January 2011, 14:11 Quote
No visionary predictions here, I'm afraid. How about:

-- SSDs will hit a decent price point for the first time.
-- a new RAM architecture will hit the laptop market that will allow for instant-on booting. This will trickle to desktops by 2012
-- the Apple iPad will continue to grow. Others will wither --except for Android 3 devices. Meego and HP's WebOS devices will be a great idea that came too late. Windows Mobile 7 will be a decent success but Microsoft will stubbornly refuse to port Windows Mobile 7 to a tablet and hence miss out yet again.
-- iPhone 5 will include and exploit to the fullest RFID. Think wireless syncing as you put your iPhone next to your Mac or peripherals; wireless small financial transactions (e.g. Starbucks), semi-automatic exchange of information between iPhone owners etc. Of course Google Nexus did it first, but because Apple did it better everyone will assume it was Apple's idea and every Apple hater will accuse Jobs of making out it was.
-- Windows 8 will achieve Alpha. It will look suspiciously 'closed garden' as there is an increased push to Windows Live services. More monopoly lawsuits fire up in response.
-- Google will compete with Windows Live more explicitly.
sb1991 1st January 2011, 14:22 Quote
The graphics market itself will be changed, with 2011 seeing the death of the low-end discrete parts. Probably everything under £50 will be made redundant by AMD and Intel's new on-die GPUs, which can't be good news for Nvidia. Not sure what future there is for tegra either, with numerous other ARM based chips around. Apple and others' continued push for OpenCL and AMD's new graphics architecture will also start to infringe on Nvidia's dominance in GPGPU, squeezing their share of another lucrative market sector. I'm sure that Nvidia will do well in the mid to high-end gaming sector that's most relevant to bit-techers (at least until the next process shrink), but overall it's not looking quite so rosy for the company.
B1GBUD 1st January 2011, 14:36 Quote
What??? No Episode 3.....



Wake me in 2012
tristanperry 1st January 2011, 14:46 Quote
Seems fairly good/safe predictions. I'd agree with all of them, including that nVidia will crawl back and possibly overtake ATI/AMD.
XNews 1st January 2011, 14:47 Quote
Hello Bit-tech :)

I'm looking to ARM Eagle, Mali and Duke with my binocular. I hope we will see some numbers soon. Gary Smith spooks me :P
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fFGT7KmStvM
leveller 1st January 2011, 15:18 Quote
Apple continue to annoy Apple haters with sexy stuff.

Before the end of the year, manufacturers have produced 3D electronics worth adding to Xmas lists.
John_T 1st January 2011, 15:32 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by sb1991
The graphics market itself will be changed, with 2011 seeing the death of the low-end discrete parts. Probably everything under £50 will be made redundant by AMD and Intel's new on-die GPUs...

That's pretty much what I was thinking. That market must already be shrinking due to Intel's current i3's, and with new and improved chips from both AMD & Intel this year it must surely be only a matter of time...
Nexxo 1st January 2011, 15:54 Quote
Probably we see an increased emphasis on low-power, lean devices that do dldpecifuc tasks well rather than the flexible but lumbering powerhouses that PCs still are today.
Cthippo 1st January 2011, 16:25 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nexxo
Probably we see an increased emphasis on low-power, lean devices that do dldpecifuc tasks well rather than the flexible but lumbering powerhouses that PCs still are today.

More coffee, Nexxo. Your brains not working right :p

I think there is too much Apple hatred for them to really get dominant yet. The diversification of offerings in sectors once dominated by MS is promising. Remember when your choices were Internet Explorer or Netscape? Likewise, more and more alternate OSs are becoming viable. Chrome is going to revolutionize the market, and I can see a situation where as tablets become more common people start asking for Android on laptops and desktops. Interoperability will be a challenge, but hopefully this will force everyone to become more standards based.
cheeriokilla 1st January 2011, 17:12 Quote
Why would nvidia take ATi's spot if ATi's driver team is so freaking awesome, I never thought I'd have the benneficial experience of buying a 2gpu card and having only one work for more than 6 months of drivers.
V3ctor 1st January 2011, 17:25 Quote
Yeah!! I want to play Duke Nukem on my X360 with Kinect...
Fizzban 1st January 2011, 17:51 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nexxo
No visionary predictions here, I'm afraid. How about:

-- SSDs will hit a decent price point for the first time.

I doubt this. It will probably be years before they are at a *decent* price point. But then I imagine you could park an A380 between my definition of decent and yours.
lxrysprtmscl 1st January 2011, 19:35 Quote
microsoft will give in (scratch that, they'll claim to support) the hacking community and release official usb driver support for their xbox 360's kinect.
echeb 1st January 2011, 20:12 Quote
What I want : My dad to walk into Comet and come out with an Asus desktop for just pottering about on the internet and a few documents that runs Ubuntu on a 2.5 gig ARM with 4 gig of ram for £300 and my sister to walk out with a netbook for the same use running Chrome OS on Bobcat for £250. But for me? To play episode 3 on a Zambezi core AM3+.

What I think will happen: Wintel FTW!!!1 and me still not understanding valve time.
sausages 1st January 2011, 20:19 Quote
I think we'll see some good Windows based tablets that become quite popular. I saw one last year which was like a laptop and then you can pull the screen off and it becomes a tablet. That was pretty cool. I think there will be more and more and they'll be great, and they'll take some of the wind out of the iPad sails.

I think there will be an iPhone 5 which is basically the iPhone 4 but with more space, and a completely redesigned areal which will FINALLY give it a good signal strength (and wont be affected by holding it either).

Lastly I think Windows 8 will be a big talking point, and probably Googles OS too, and what I hope... is that Microsoft finally shock the world by pulling their fingers out and actually coming up with something genuinely revolutionary. Something so good that it will put pretty much all other OS's in their place.


p.s. I think we might also see a touch sensitive keyboard introduced. I saw a movie of this last year and it looked great.
Cthippo 1st January 2011, 20:33 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fizzban
I doubt this. It will probably be years before they are at a *decent* price point. But then I imagine you could park an A380 between my definition of decent and yours.

Before or after the engine falls off?
Nexxo 1st January 2011, 21:43 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by sausages
I think we'll see some good Windows based tablets that become quite popular. I saw one last year which was like a laptop and then you can pull the screen off and it becomes a tablet. That was pretty cool. I think there will be more and more and they'll be great, and they'll take some of the wind out of the iPad sails.
Not happening. Tablet hardware needs another 5 years before it can run Windows smoothly and not drain the battery within three hours. We will never see a Windows Tablet. Windows Mobile, perhaps.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sausages
I think there will be an iPhone 5 which is basically the iPhone 4 but with more space, and a completely redesigned areal which will FINALLY give it a good signal strength (and wont be affected by holding it either).
There is no aerial problem. But it will probably be moved to the Apple logo just to reassure customers.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sausages
Lastly I think Windows 8 will be a big talking point, and probably Googles OS too, and what I hope... is that Microsoft finally shock the world by pulling their fingers out and actually coming up with something genuinely revolutionary. Something so good that it will put pretty much all other OS's in their place.

p.s. I think we might also see a touch sensitive keyboard introduced. I saw a movie of this last year and it looked great.

I'm willing to be surprised (after all Windows Mobile 7 did) but I doubt that Windows 8 is going to be substantially more innovative than Windows 7. Prepare to be unimpressed...
leveller 1st January 2011, 23:07 Quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by sausages
I think there will be an iPhone 5 which is basically the iPhone 4 but with more space, and a completely redesigned areal which will FINALLY give it a good signal strength (and wont be affected by holding it either).

I think you are right that iPhone5 will have a redesigned aerial ... however, it will be mostly cosmetic to make People feel better about the hype before.

A friend showed me his iPhone4 and I literally death-gripped it so hard that my knuckles turned white and still i couldn't get it to drop any more than 1 bar. When I think about my iPhone3G or 3GS they both always have great reception and I live in the middle of nowhere on a mixture of Vodafone and O2.

Edit: on the back of my experience checking out my friends iPhone4, I bought one for my missus, that's how worried I am about aerial issues.
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